Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.01	3.65	3.25
	1.96	3.83	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.49	Watch
	2.01	3.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	3.62 ↑ (3.35)	3.23 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
45.7%

Draw
25.6%

El Paso Locomotive
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - El Paso (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Oekel M. (G) 2. Turnbull S. 13. Rufe J. 4. Hamouda R. 6. McIllhatton S. 19. Martinez E. (C) 11. McCartney D. 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 15. Pasher T. 7. Trejo D. 9. Damus R.	23. Waite J. (G) 21. Twumasi K. 7. Romero B. 3. Ackwei W. 24. Diaz M. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 8. Daroma F. 16. Gabriel Torres 13. Cabrera A. 14. Avila R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
47. Calloway F. 57. Delgado F. (G) 22. Lucca Dourado 33. Mensah M. 10. Preston T. 43. Suarez S. 25. Torres R. 21. Tregarthen S.	20. Carter D. 30. Coronado R. 15. Dollenmayer N. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 11. Moshobane T. 18. Quezada A. 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Soehn T.	Cabrera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Turnbull S. (A),
45+2', Pasher T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
46', Turnbull S. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Damus R. (Pen),
63', Trejo D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
90+1', Preston T. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
90+1', Moreno A. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
90+1', Cabrera A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, McCartney D. ⚽,
90+7', Calvillo E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Paso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
29.03.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.25	Little Rock Rangers - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
16.03.25	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLTL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
05.04.25	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
USL Championship
29.03.25	Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.25	El Paso Locomotive - Harpos	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
01.06.24	El Paso Locomotive - Birmingham Legion	1:3
20.05.23	Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive	1:2

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