Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
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Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+


	Indy Eleven		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.95
	1.88	3.33	4.53
	1.84	3.33	4.44	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.9	3.43	4	Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.99)	3.28 ↑ (2.93)	4.08 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
49.1%

Draw
28.2%

Monterey Bay
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

30%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Indy (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 2. White H. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 27. Rendon B. 8. Blake J. 90. Mesanvi L. 18. Okello N.	1. Delgado F. (G) 6. Malesevic L. 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 22. Garcia J. 4. Ross N. 14. Nakamura R. 17. Glasgow O. 88. Lletget S. (C) 8. Lomtadze G. 20. Paul I.
Substitutes
39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 19. Kizza E. 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 24. Thomas M. 10. Williams K.	18. Belmar J. 23. Blancas E. 31. Dalton C. (G) 5. Gordon N. 11. Leggett W. 7. Rebollar A. 2. Talabi A.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Stewart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Lindley C. (A),
25', Garcia J. 🟨,
32', Okello N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lomtadze G. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
56', 2 - 1, Blake J. ⚽,
60', Nakamura R. ↓, Belmar J. ↑,
60', Lletget S. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Mesanvi L. ⚽, Herbert A. (A),
69', Rendon B. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
73', Glasgow O. ↓, Rebollar A. ↑,
75', Quinn A. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
75', Okello N. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
75', Farnsworth Z. 🟨,
82', Blancas E. 🟨,
83', Barry H. 🟨,
87', Williams K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Indy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
04.04.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Indy Eleven - Des Moines Menace	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTWW
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
04.04.26	Monterey Bay - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
05.07.25	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:0
04.05.24	Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven	0:1
22.04.23	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	2:3
17.09.22	Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven	5:0

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