Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Calume A. (Usa)


	Birmingham Legion		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.85
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.21	3.67	2.92
	2.22	3.67	2.93
	2.22	3.49	2.9	Watch
	2.17	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	2.89 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
42.1%

Draw
26%

Memphis 901
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Delgado F. (G) 13. Rufe J. 3. Kavita P. 20. Paterson AJ 33. Mensah M. 19. Martinez E. 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 10. Kassim P. 15. Pasher T. 11. McCartney D. 29. Stefano Pinho	1. Deric T. (G) 3. Vom Steeg C. 8. Turci L. 9. Nascimento L. 4. Hyndman E. 11. Marlon 6. Duncan Z. 10. Lapa B. 19. Jimenez O. 77. Borczak D. 14. Ward A.
Substitutes
47. Calloway F. 4. Hamouda R. 24. Murana M. 7. Nwegbo D. 28. Perez M. 23. Preston T. 1. Van Oekel M. (G)	91. Cissoko A. 7. Meza N. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu
Coaches
Soehn T.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Lapa B. ⚽, Marlon (A),
17', 0 - 2, Turci L. ⚽,
28', Borczak D. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
45+3', Nascimento L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mensah M. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
54', 0 - 3, Lapa B. ⚽, Marlon (A),
57', Rufe J. ↓, Murana M. ↑,
57', Kassim P. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
60', Duncan Z. ↓, Paul L. ↑,
69', Jimenez O. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
69', Nascimento L. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
69', Marlon ↓, Tulu ↑,
72', Kavita P. 🟨,
77', Pasher T. ↓, Nwegbo D. ↑,
81', Ward A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4.

Birmingham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Memphis has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
20.04.24	Miami - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
14.04.24	North Carolina - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
20.04.24	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Sacramento Republic - Memphis 901	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Memphis 901 - Indy Eleven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.09.23	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	1:2
20.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	1:1
US Open Cup
10.05.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	3:0
USL Championship
20.08.22	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	2:4
08.06.22	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	1:0
04.09.21	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	3:2
14.08.21	Memphis 901 - Birmingham Legion	1:1

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