Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Pietà Hotspurs		Melita

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	2.84	3.54	2.13
	2.86	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.1
	2.94	3.42	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.88)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.12 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietà Hotspurs
31.3%

Draw
26.1%

Melita
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.6%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pietà Hotspurs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Pietà Hotspurs - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Brincat J. ⚽,
90', Mensah E. 🟥,

Preview

Recent performances by Pietà Hotspurs have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melita is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melita will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pietà Hotspurs won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
9	Pieta	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Birkirkara - Pietà Hotspurs	2:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Melita - Sirens	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santa Lucia - Melita	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1
09.03.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	0:1
24.09.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	2:2
29.09.17	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	0:5

Pietà Hotspurs - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide