Match Info

Challenge League - Round 11

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Birżebbuġa St. Peters		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.77	4.19	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.65	3.55	4.69
	1.7	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)	3.52 ↓ (4)	4.33 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
53.7%

Draw
25.5%

St. Andrews
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birżebbuġa St. Peters's form might have worsened.

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birżebbuġa St. Peters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟥,
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Birżebbuġa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

St. Andrews is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Birżebbuġa is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Birżebbuġa will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	St. Andrews	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Marsa	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Sirens - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	St. Andrews - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches