The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town 43.3%
Draw 25.6%
Warrington Town 31.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.4%
25.4%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
24.9%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Alfreton Town - Warrington Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Youmbi D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Hawkins R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 8th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alfreton holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Alfreton has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alfreton against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Warrington
14
6
5
3
25:21
4
23
11
Alfreton
15
6
2
7
21:17
4
20
Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now
Alfreton: 1.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Warrington Town - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.