Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Warrington Town		South Shields

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.5
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.4	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.36	3.52	2.7
	2.38	3.66	2.69
	2.36	3.54	2.61
	2.4	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)	2.59 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
38.7%

Draw
25.8%

South Shields
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Warrington Town - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Heaney M. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Morse D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Blackett P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warrington won 1.

Recent matches Warrington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

South Shields is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Warrington won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Warrington won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English National League North
26.10.24	Darlington - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Radcliffe - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Chorley - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWLWT
- South Shields FC
English National League North
26.10.24	Brackley Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	South Shields - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	South Shields - Leamington	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Southport - South Shields	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.08.24	South Shields - Warrington Town	2:1
06.01.24	South Shields - Warrington Town	1:1
14.10.23	Warrington Town - South Shields	2:2
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	South Shields - Warrington Town	2:1
26.11.22	Warrington Town - South Shields	3:2
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Warrington Town - South Shields	3:1
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.22	South Shields - Warrington Town	1:2 penalties

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