Match Info

2. SNL - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Bistrica		Nafta

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.24	3.6	2.6
	2.27	3.46	2.63
	2.9	3.45	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.91)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	2.46 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bistrica
37%

Draw
26%

Nafta
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bistrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bistrica's performance.

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nafta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bistrica than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bistrica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nafta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bistrica - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga (Promotion: )).

Bistrica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nafta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nafta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bistrica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bistrica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bistrica
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.25	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Bistrica	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bistrica - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Jesenice - Bistrica	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Bistrica - Krško	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWW
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.25	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Jadran Dekani - Nafta	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Nafta - Jesenice	5:1 ✺
13.09.25	Krško - Nafta	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nafta - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
13.11.23	Nafta - Bistrica	3:1
29.08.23	Bistrica - Nafta	1:0
22.04.23	Bistrica - Nafta	1:0
07.10.22	Nafta - Bistrica	0:2

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