Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Blackpool		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.55	1.98	Watch
	3.62	3.68	2.02
	3.29	3.38	2.06	Watch
	3.61	3.41	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
26.6%

Draw
26.8%

Cardiff City
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.2%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.7%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Blackpool - Cardiff City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackpool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 5. Horsfall F. 20. Ihiekwe M. 4. Casey O. 15. Coulson H. 19. Bowler J. 6. Brown J. 10. Honeyman G. 22. Hamilton C. 14. Bloxham T. 11. Fletcher A.	13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 12. Chambers C. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 27. Colwill J. 8. Kellyman O. 10. Colwill R. 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
26. Ashworth Z. 23. Banks S. 41. Bondo T. 29. Hansson E. 2. Lyons A. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 40. Upton T.	39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 4. Osho G. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G) 6. Wintle R.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Colwill R. 🟨,
45+1', Ihiekwe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Coulson H. ↓, Ashworth Z. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Fletcher A. ⚽, Bowler J. (A),
48', 🟨,
65', Bowler J. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
67', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Fletcher A. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
75', Hamilton C. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
76', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
76', Colwill J. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
79', Chambers C. 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Bloxham T. ⚽, Fletcher A. (A),
88', Fletcher A. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
88', Bloxham T. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 0.

Blackpool is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cardiff has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blackpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cardiff could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Blackpool: Ennis N. (Calf Injury) Evans L. (Yellow Cards) Husband J. (Hamstring Injury) Imray D. (Knee Injury) Taylor D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Blackpool: Ihiekwe M. (Injury) Morgan A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Blackpool - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Peterborough United - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.10.25	Blackpool - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
11.10.25	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWL
- Cardiff City
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Cardiff City - Newport County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.04.23	Blackpool - Cardiff City	1:3
17.12.22	Cardiff City - Blackpool	1:1
19.02.22	Cardiff City - Blackpool	1:1
14.08.21	Blackpool - Cardiff City	0:2
25.04.15	Cardiff City - Blackpool	3:2
03.10.14	Blackpool - Cardiff City	1:0
19.01.13	Blackpool - Cardiff City	1:2

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