Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Cardiff City		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.62	4.38	5.01
	2.24	2.53	4.39	Watch
	1.59	4.15	5.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.86 ↓ (4.34)	4.93 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
55.9%

Draw
24.8%

Reading
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

20.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Cardiff City - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cardiff (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 4. Osho G. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 27. Colwill J. 14. Turnbull D. 8. Kellyman O. 10. Colwill R. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.	25. Stevens J. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 12. Burns F. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 15. O'Connor P. 29. Doyle K. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 7. Marriott J. 30. Ritchie M.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 39. Davies I. 2. Fish W. 38. Ng P. 47. Robinson C. 41. Turner M. (G) 6. Wintle R.	9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 4. Elliott B. 5. Jacob M. 11. Kyerewaa D. 31. Norcott T. (G) 20. O'Mahony M. 17. Yiadom A.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Osho G. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
64', Kellyman O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
64', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
69', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
70', Ritchie M. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
70', Abrefa K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
74', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
76', Trott N. 🟨,
79', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
86', Lane P. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
90', Ashford C. ↓, Ng P. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.

Cardiff has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Reading is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury) Tanner O. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Camara M. (Ankle Injury) Williams D. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Fraser L. (Inactive) Garcia A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Cardiff City - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Cardiff City - Leyton Orient	4:3 ✺
30.09.25	Cardiff City - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Wigan Athletic - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Burnley - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWW
- Reading
English League One
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Reading - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Reading - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Reading - West Ham United U21	3:1 ✺
English League One
27.09.25	Stockport County - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.24	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1
English League Championship
17.02.23	Cardiff City - Reading	1:0
06.08.22	Reading - Cardiff City	2:1
09.04.22	Reading - Cardiff City	1:2
02.10.21	Cardiff City - Reading	0:1
16.04.21	Reading - Cardiff City	1:1
26.09.20	Cardiff City - Reading	1:2

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