Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 23

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Penshurst Park (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	St. George City		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.45
	2.52	3.25	2.42
	2.77	3.4	2.53
	2.69	3.41	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.75	3.25	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	2.47 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
34.8%

Draw
28%

University of New South Wales
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

St. George City - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)

In recent matches, St. George City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UNSW is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. George City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
05.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - St. George City	3:3 ✺
27.06.26	SD Raiders - St. George City	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	St. George City - North West Sydney Spirit	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - St. George City	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	St. George City - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWTT
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
04.07.26	University of New South Wales - Sydney FC U23	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	University of New South Wales - Sutherland Sharks	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Marconi Stallions - University of New South Wales	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	University of New South Wales - St George Saints	1:4 ✺
06.06.26	SD Raiders - University of New South Wales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0

St. George City - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide