Match Info

J2 League - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Blaublitz Akita		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.00	3.30	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.10
	2.30	3.00	3.10	Watch
	2.38	3.15	3.39
	2.23	3.15	3.37	Watch
	2.25	3.10	3.25
	2.28	3.03	3.34	Watch
	2.34	3.00	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.46)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
40.8%

Draw
30.6%

Albirex Niigata
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

29.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

30.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blaublitz Akita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamada G. (G) 22. Takahashi H. 3. Iizumi R. 17. Nonomura T. 5. Nagai K. 14. Oishi R. 66. Doi K. 25. Fujiyama T. 77. Nakano Y. 34. Suzuki S. 18. Handa K.	46. Baumann N. (G) 30. Sekiguchi M. 5. Fitzgerald M. 77. Funaki K. 3. Kato T. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 55. Moraes M. 16. Osawa T. 32. Kuwayama K.
Substitutes
24. Aihara S. 32. Hasegawa T. 38. Hill C. (G) 27. Iwai T. 7. Mizutani T. 9. Nakamura R. 4. Okano J. 11. Sagawa K. 8. Umeda K.	15. Hayakawa F. 19. Hoshi Y. 9. Iury Castilho 6. Kasai K. 14. Konagaya C. 70. Maeda R. 38. Mori K. 71. Uchiyama S. (G) 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Funakoshi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Moraes M. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Nakano Y. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Iizumi R. ⚽, Oishi R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Osawa T. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
58', Kuwayama K. ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
59', Nakano Y. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
60', Handa K. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
64', Doi K. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Oishi R. ⚽,
74', Shimabuku K. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
74', Shirai E. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
78', Oishi R. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
78', Suzuki S. ↓, Iwai T. ↑,
85', Onishi Y. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Iury Castilho ⚽, Wakatsuki Y. (A),
90', Iury Castilho 🟨,
90+1', Sagawa K. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
90+2', Nagai K. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion ~ J1 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 2.

In recent outings, Blaublitz Akita has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Albirex Niigata shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Blaublitz Akita has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:12 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Blaublitz Akita against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Albirex Niigata	11	6	2	3	15:19	-4	20
15	Blaublitz	11	3	4	4	12:12	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Blaublitz Akita - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Shonan Bellmare - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	4:1 ✺
06.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLL
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata	5:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Iwaki - Albirex Niigata	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ET
Japan J2 League
19.06.22	Albirex Niigata - Blaublitz Akita	3:0
12.03.22	Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata	1:0
23.10.21	Albirex Niigata - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
21.06.21	Blaublitz Akita - Albirex Niigata	0:2
Japan Emperors Cup
09.09.15	Albirex Niigata - Blaublitz Akita	4:0

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