Match Info

J2 League - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Blaublitz Akita		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.60	2.90	2.55
	2.62	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.87	3.05	2.81
	2.77	2.99	2.72	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.75
	2.7	2.99	2.74	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.69)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	2.7 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
34.2%

Draw
31.5%

Tokushima Vortis
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamada G. (G) 22. Takahashi H. 3. Iizumi R. 17. Nonomura T. 13. Saito R. 14. Oishi R. 25. Fujiyama T. 6. Morooka H. 77. Nakano Y. 34. Suzuki S. 18. Handa K.	37. Kitamura K. C. (G) 97. Moyo M. 3. Yamada N. 2. Tanaka H. 22. Yanagisawa K. 6. Kanuma N. 8. Iwao K. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Lucas Barcelos 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
24. Aihara S. 32. Hasegawa T. 38. Hill C. (G) 10. Ishida R. 7. Mizutani T. 9. Nakamura R. 4. Okano J. 37. Tanaka M. 8. Umeda K.	31. Hasegawa T. (G) 17. Inami T. 4. Kaique 14. Kajiya Y. 7. Kodama S. 19. Miyazaki J. 55. Shigehiro T. 9. Thonny Anderson 15. Yamakoshi K.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Yoshimoto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Nonomura T. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Lucas Barcelos ⚽, Watari D. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Suzuki S. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),
33', 3 - 1, Takahashi H. ⚽, Nakano Y. (A),
37', 4 - 1, Suzuki S. ⚽, Fujiyama T. (A),
39', Fujiyama T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Watari D. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
46', Sugimoto T. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
46', Iwao K. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
65', Nakano Y. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
65', Oishi R. ↓, Mizutani T. ↑,
65', Handa K. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
71', Takagi Y. ↓, Kodama S. ↑,
71', Suzuki S. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
81', Kanuma N. ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
86', Fujiyama T. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
88', Saito R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 2.

Blaublitz Akita is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tokushima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Blaublitz Akita won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Blaublitz	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13
12	Tokushima	10	4	1	5	10:12	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Blaublitz Akita - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
06.09.26	Blaublitz Akita - Omiya Ardija	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Ehime - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Imabari - Blaublitz Akita	4:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Blaublitz Akita - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLW
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
05.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Gifu - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokushima Vortis - FC Tokushima	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	1:1
29.04.25	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	0:2
29.09.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
09.03.24	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
11.11.23	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
25.03.23	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	0:0
10.09.22	Blaublitz Akita - Tokushima Vortis	0:0

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