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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 52.7%
Draw 24.4%
Sagan Tosu 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.6%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
25%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Abe K. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 3. Deng T. 31. Horigome Y. 6. Akiyama H. 20. Shimada Y. 22. Matsuda E. 14. Hasegawa M. 16. Komi Y. 7. Taniguchi K.
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 3. Kimura S. 88. Naganuma Y. 6. Fukuta A. 23. Kikuchi T. 22. Togashi C. 18. Hino S. 13. Yokoyama A. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
17. Danilo Gomes 18. Hayakawa F. 45. Inamura H. 40. Ishiyama A. 99. Ono Y. 33. Takagi Y. 23. Yoshimitsu D. (G)
11. Araujo V. 21. Horigome Y. 5. Kawahara S. 8. Nakahara H. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 7. Tezuka K. 16. Ueebisu K.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. ⚽, Komi Y. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Kimura S. (A),
34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Hino S. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ⚽,
52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Fukuta A. (A),
61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. ⚽, Shimada Y. (A),
61', Matsuda E. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
61', Taniguchi K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
61', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
61', Deng T. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
65', Kikuchi T. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
79', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
79', Yokoyama A. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. ⚽, Ono Y. (A),
87', Fukuta A. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Niigata is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
China
Japan
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Abe K. (G) 
Deng T. 
Park Il-gyu (G) 
Marcelo Ryan 
Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 
