Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 15

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Blaublitz Akita		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.45	3.91
	1.99	3.48	3.58	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.89	3.47	3.98	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.81 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
48.2%

Draw
27.6%

Sagamihara
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

30.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blaublitz Akita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Yatagai S. (G) 17. Nonomura T. 3. Iizumi R. 2. Okazaki R. 5. Nagai K. 16. Yoshioka M. 6. Morooka H. 7. Mizutani T. 77. Nakano Y. 11. Sagawa K. 8. Umeda K.	21. Kim Min-ho (G) 18. Miki K. 3. Pytlik K. 13. Tokida M. 16. Takano R. 23. Takusari Y. 8. Kambe K. 15. Maeda T. 20. Kawabata Y. 6. Tokunaga Y. 14. Ando T.
Substitutes
66. Doi K. 18. Handa K. 47. Horiuchi T. (G) 52. Nishimura M. 14. Oishi R. 34. Suzuki S. 1. Yamada G. (G)	1. Miura M. (G) 10. Nakayama R. 19. Okita S. 9. Sasaki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 24. Sugimoto R. 17. Takeuchi T. 7. Tanahashi A. 2. Watahiki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Okazaki R. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Takusari Y. ⚽, Ando T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Umeda K. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
55', Ando T. ↓, Sasaki K. ↑,
61', Nakano Y. ↓, Oishi R. ↑,
61', Sagawa K. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
73', Kawabata Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
74', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Nakayama R. ↑,
81', Yoshioka M. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
82', Morooka H. 🟨,
85', Takano R. ↓, Watahiki K. ↑,
85', Kambe K. ↓, Shimakawa T. ↑,
90+2', Mizutani T. 🟨,
90+3', Sasaki K. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Blaublitz Akita might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Blaublitz Akita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Vegalta Sendai - Blaublitz Akita	1:3 ✺
29.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Blaublitz Akita - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
02.05.26	Yokohama FC - Sagamihara	3:4 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Sagamihara - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sagamihara - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 penalties ✺
19.04.26	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sagamihara - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ET
Japan J2 League
03.11.21	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	0:1
26.06.21	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	1:1
Japan J3 League
12.12.20	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	1:1
29.07.20	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	3:1

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