Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 9

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)


	Aurora		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7
	1.44	4.40	5.25
	1.35	5.15	6.5	Watch
	1.31	5.52	9
	1.46	4.92	5.76	Watch
	1.26	5.45	8.9
	1.38	5.03	6.77	Watch
	1.35	4.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	5.05 ↑ (4.9)	6.95 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
68.2%

Draw
18.4%

Oriente Petrolero
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

18.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

17.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Aurora - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Aurora will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 4. Vidaurre I. 21. Ortiz M. 16. Barro L. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 69. Terrazas A. 10. Ramallo R. 9. Rangel M.	13. Bernal J. (G) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 42. Roca D. 20. Lovera J. 11. Vaca L. 30. Berdecio J. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. (C) 7. Flores J. 90. Pena A.
Substitutes
2. Aguada M. 5. Amarilla A. 15. Cordova J. 11. Mojica H. 25. Rios A. 18. Rojas S. 34. Segovia J. 30. Suarez S. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 28. Vaca O. 22. Velazquez J. 26. Villca D.	38. Antunez J. 91. Nacif N. 40. Perdomo O. 36. Reyes Rojas M. 25. Rivero Ferrufino R. A. (G) 6. Rodriguez D. 79. Roldan N. 33. Saucedo C. 1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 28. Velasco J. 37. Villalba H.
Coaches
Umana G.	Florentin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Pena A. ⚽, Berdecio J. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Rangel M. ⚽, Viviani L. (A),
45', Velasco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Vidaurre I. 🟨,
55', Gonzales Mejia F. 🟨,
61', Berdecio J. ↓, Perdomo O. ↑,
61', Pena A. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Flores J. ⚽, Roldan N. (A),
68', Gonzales Mejia F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
68', Barro L. ↓, Amarilla A. ↑,
68', Vidaurre I. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
68', Terrazas A. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Ramallo R. ⚽, Ortiz M. (A),
74', Barboza L. 🟨,
76', Lopez F. ↓, Reyes Rojas M. ↑,
76', Vaca L. ↓, Nacif N. ↑,
90+2', Roldan N. 🟨,
90+4', Flores J. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.

Aurora has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Oriente Petrolero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Oriente Petrolero has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aurora is the clear favorite.

We predict that Aurora will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Oriente Petrolero	20	9	3	8	36:27	9	30
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Aurora	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Aurora - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Aurora - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTW
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	ABB - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
04.08.25	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	3:0
30.03.25	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	5:1
24.09.24	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	5:0
12.05.24	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	3:1
12.11.23	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	1:0
14.05.23	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	2:2
05.09.22	Oriente Petrolero - Aurora	2:1

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