Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Blyth Spartans		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.48	3.1	2.63
	2.31	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.19	3.04
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.23	3.24	2.97
	2.31	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)	3.16 ↑ (3.04)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
38.9%

Draw
28.8%

AFC Telford United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Blyth Spartans - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2.

Blyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Telford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blyth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Blyth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
01.11.22	Blyth Spartans - Leamington	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Kettering Town - Blyth Spartans	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Wrexham - Blyth Spartans	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
01.11.22	AFC Telford United - Darlington	1:4 ✺
29.10.22	AFC Telford United - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Peterborough Sports - AFC Telford United	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Leamington - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.04.22	AFC Telford United - Blyth Spartans	2:2
28.08.21	Blyth Spartans - AFC Telford United	2:0
10.10.20	Blyth Spartans - AFC Telford United	1:1
28.01.20	AFC Telford United - Blyth Spartans	4:2
28.09.19	Blyth Spartans - AFC Telford United	3:1
30.03.19	AFC Telford United - Blyth Spartans	1:1
29.09.18	Blyth Spartans - AFC Telford United	1:0

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