Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Blyth Spartans		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.71	3.35	2.5
	2.72	3.35	2.51
	3	3.6	2.05
	2.66	3.42	2.4
	2.65	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.01)	3.4 ↓ (3.7)	2.36 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
33.9%

Draw
27%

Curzon Ashton
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

25.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curzon Ashton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Hooper J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, Mols S. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Deverdics N. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Mols S. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Mols S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2.

Recent matches Blyth is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Curzon Ashton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Curzon Ashton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Blyth won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
23.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
19.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3 ✺
12.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Blyth Spartans - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
23.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Banbury United	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
12.03.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Chester - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.11.23	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	3:1
15.04.23	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	2:2
22.11.22	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	0:2
02.05.22	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	1:0
08.01.22	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	3:2
07.11.20	Curzon Ashton - Blyth Spartans	0:3
11.01.20	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	2:1

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