Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Tombense		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.45
	2.95	2.8	2.48
	3.05	2.8	2.48
	3.42	2.82	2.59
	3.25	2.88	2.38
	3.13	2.95	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
29.6%

Draw
32.9%

Vasco da Gama
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

30.7%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Tombense - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.22	Vila Nova - Tombense	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Tombense - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Tombense - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Tombense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLTT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
22.04.22	Chapecoense - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
08.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.03.22	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
07.04.21	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:2

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