Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 11

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca (Rio de Janeiro)


	Boavista		Bangu

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.75
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.7
	1.89	3.38	4.05
	1.92	3.36	3.84
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 (1.95)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
47.5%

Draw
27.8%

Bangu
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Boavista - Bangu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre Luiz (G) 27. Bere 9. Cristian Renato 8. Crystopher 20. Gabriel Almeida 7. Jefferson Souza 2. Mateus Ludke 4. Mizael Monteiro 3. Pabo Maldini 11. Ryan Guilherme 5. Willian Oliveira	1. Cadu (G) 8. Adsson 33. Canhota 10. Edgar Neto 6. Erick Daltro 2. Gabriel Saulo 3. Lucas Marreta 19. Raphael Augusto 5. Renatinho 11. Rochinha 4. Victor Oliveira
Substitutes
21. Abner Vinicius 14. Elivelton 23. Gabriel Conceicao 15. Leo Costa 26. Leonardo Lopes 12. Matheus Viana (G) 6. Raul Cardoso . Wellington Manzoli	23. Andre Santos 13. Azevedo B. 17. Baltore P. 22. Banhoro Y. 18. Douglas Coutinho 12. Gabriel Barboza (G) 20. Gabryel Vinicius 16. Meirelles da Silva L. 15. Ramom 14. Ramom Soares 9. Ronald Barbosa 21. Walney
Coaches
Candido F.	de Franca Junior I. C.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 10).

Boavista is Qualified for Carioca (Taca Rio Semi~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Boavista is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Boavista won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2 ✺
20.02.24	Flamengo - Boavista	4:0 ✺
15.02.24	Nova Iguaçu - Boavista	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
04.02.24	Boavista - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTTT
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.02.24	Bangu - Madureira	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Bangu - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
07.02.24	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Audax Rio - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.01.23	Boavista - Bangu	2:2
06.03.22	Boavista - Bangu	4:1
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.21	Boavista - Bangu	2:0
27.06.21	Bangu - Boavista	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.21	Boavista - Bangu	2:0
06.03.20	Boavista - Bangu	2:1
26.01.19	Bangu - Boavista	2:0

Boavista - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide