Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Denmark	Bold+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Braga		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.20	8.00	Watch
	1.39	4.75	7.25
	1.38	4.70	8.00	Watch
	1.43	4.60	8.76
	1.39	4.81	7.85	Watch
	1.40	4.50	8.65
	1.44	4.39	8.37	Watch
	1.40	4.60	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.57 ↑ (4.35)	8.01 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga
67.5%

Draw
20.7%

Estoril Praia
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.7%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.4%	3.6%	0%

Braga - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.56% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 37. Barisic A. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. (C) 34. Tiknaz D. E. 77. Martinez G. 11. Gabriel Silva 17. Milosevic J. 10. Victor P.	1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Ferro 15. Sierra I. 21. Jurisic R. 10. Holsgrove J. 44. Robin M. 98. Garcia F. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 11. Omerovic N. 14. Begraoui Y.
Substitutes
44. Bajrami A. 78. Carvalho J. (G) 20. Dorgeles M. 29. Gorby 21. Horta R. 16. Marques T. 9. Navarro F. 50. Rodrigues D. 22. Sergio Barcia 7. Travassos 6. Vitor Carvalho 19. Wind J.	35. Amissah S. 42. Arnolin J. 9. Camblan A. 22. Carvalho P. 99. Guitane R. 7. Lacximicant A. 3. Medrano F. 17. Peixinho 43. Smythe-Lowe F. (G) 5. Tsoungui A. 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Vicens C.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Garcia F. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
34', Ferro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Bajrami A. ↑,
58', Barisic A. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
58', Gabriel Silva ↓, Horta R. ↑,
63', Ferro 🟨,
64', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Gorby ↑,
65', Peixinho ↓, Amissah S. ↑,
77', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
77', Holsgrove J. ↓, Arnolin J. ↑,
77', Omerovic N. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
81', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Wind J. ⚽, Gorby (A),
85', Carvalho J. 🟨,
88', Carvalho P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.

Braga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estoril has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Braga is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Gorby (Inactive) Horta R. (Inactive) Huseinbasic D. (Inactive) Niakate S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Sintes X. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Andreou S. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:12. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Braga - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
10.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Alverca - Braga	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Austria Wien - Braga	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Braga - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTW
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
07.09.26	Estoril Praia - Arouca	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Benfica - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nacional - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
03.05.26	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:1
19.12.25	Estoril Praia - Braga	1:0
19.04.25	Estoril Praia - Braga	0:2
06.12.24	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:2
13.04.24	Estoril Praia - Braga	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.24	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:1 penalties
Liga Portugal
03.12.23	Braga - Estoril Praia	3:1

Upcoming Matches