Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
World	Onefootball


	Braga		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.5	12	Watch
				Watch
	1.15	7.4	14.5	Watch
	1.2	7.7	14.93
	1.18	7.43	14.64	Watch
	1.18	7	13	Watch
	1.19	8.05	15.5	Watch
	1.17	7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.23)	7.44 ↑ (6.04)	14.08 ↑ (12.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga
80.6%

Draw
12.7%

Rio Ave
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.8%

15.6%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Braga - Rio Ave Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Braga (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Braga will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Braga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 37. Barisic A. 14. Lagerbielke G. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 27. Grillitsch F. 77. Martinez G. 10. Zalazar R. 18. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C)	99. van der Gouw E. (G) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 44. Nikitscher T. 54. Liavas G. 77. Richards O. 7. Diogo Bezerra 9. Monteiro T. 19. Papakanellos A.
Substitutes
41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 5. Lelo L. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 34. Tiknaz D. E.	11. Blesa J. 24. Buta L. 22. Chamorro K. (G) 63. Lomboto J. 5. Ntoi A. 80. Pohlmann O. 8. Ryan Guilherme 18. Spikic D. 20. Tome J.
Coaches
Vicens C.	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Grillitsch F. ⚽, Victor P. (A),
45', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Papakanellos A. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
70', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
70', Monteiro T. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Grillitsch F. (A),
74', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
75', Martinez G. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
82', Grillitsch F. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
82', Zalazar R. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
84', Liavas G. ↓, Ntoi A. ↑,
84', Richards O. ↓, Buta L. ↑,
87', Lelo L. 🟨,
89', Gomez V. ↓, da Rocha Y. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Moutinho J. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 2.

Braga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rio Ave is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Foot Injury) Niakate S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Petrasso F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Braga: Barisic A. (Injury) Dorgeles M. (Inactive) Gorby (Injury) Vitor Carvalho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Braga	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Braga	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Tondela - Braga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
31.01.26	Rio Ave - Arouca	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Nacional - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Rio Ave - Benfica	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Rio Ave - Casa Pia	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Rio Ave - Braga	2:2
02.03.25	Rio Ave - Braga	2:1
29.09.24	Braga - Rio Ave	4:0
09.03.24	Rio Ave - Braga	0:0
07.10.23	Braga - Rio Ave	2:1
05.03.23	Braga - Rio Ave	2:0
11.09.22	Rio Ave - Braga	2:3

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