The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BSAD 18.4%
Draw 24.8%
Braga 56.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
25%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.8%
25%
59.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13%
8.7%
78.3%
BSAD - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%). Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% โ 95.12%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (57.37%), has project points - 28, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Braga has the most likely position - 4 (100%), has project points - 64, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality47, small importance28, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1.
Recent matches Belenenses is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Braga is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 18-46.
Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.