Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport


	Boavista		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.64	3.28	2.21
	3.54	3.27	2.17	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.48	3.35	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	2.17 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
27.2%

Draw
29.3%

Famalicão
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	50%	22.2%

Boavista - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Famalicão will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 20. Ferreira F. 10. Reisinho M. 16. Silva J. 2. Camara I. 7. Agra S. (C) 17. Namora M. 9. Bozenik R.	25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 4. Mihaj E. (C) 16. De Haas J. 5. Rafa Soares 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 7. Sorriso 20. Sa G. 11. Aranda O. 29. Sejk V.
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 23. Machado T. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G) 18. Vukotic I.	90. Cunha H. (G) 12. Elisor S. 88. Lobato S. 2. Lucas Calegari 13. Pedro Bondo 3. Realpe L. 10. Rochinha 8. Topic M. 21. Zabiri Y.
Coaches
Bacci C.	Oliveira H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Sejk V. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
40', Camara I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Sa G. ⚽, Pinheiro R. (A),
57', Namora M. 🟨,
58', Camara I. ↓, Vukotic I. ↑,
75', Sejk V. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
75', Aranda O. ↓, Rochinha ↑,
75', Miguel G. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
75', Namora M. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
78', Carevic L. 🟨,
82', De Amorim M. ↓, Topic M. ↑,
83', Reisinho M. 🟨,
84', Gomes P. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
90+2', Van de Looi T. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0.

Boavista has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Famalicão is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Famalicão will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Boavista: Abascal R. (Red Card) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Famalicão: Rafa Soares (Injury) Zabiri Y. (Injury) Zlobin I. (Illness)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
26.01.25	Braga - Boavista	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Boavista - Casa Pia	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Boavista - Arouca	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Porto - Boavista	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Boavista - AVS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
25.01.25	Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Benfica - Famalicão	4:0 ✺
05.01.25	Casa Pia - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
30.12.24	Famalicão - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Famalicão - Farense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.08.24	Famalicão - Boavista	1:0
04.03.24	Famalicão - Boavista	1:1
30.09.23	Boavista - Famalicão	2:2
19.03.23	Boavista - Famalicão	1:2
02.10.22	Famalicão - Boavista	4:0
02.04.22	Famalicão - Boavista	1:2
05.11.21	Boavista - Famalicão	2:5

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