Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Boavista		Arouca

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.3
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	2.77	3.19	2.63	Watch
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.41	3.22	2.23	Watch
	3.4	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.63)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	2.33 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boavista
28.7%

Draw
30.8%

Arouca
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista's form might have worsened.

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	35.3%	50%

Boavista - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Arouca will win (votes: 17 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 33.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 7. Agra S. 15. Gomes P. 20. Ferreira F. 25. Dabo A. 24. Perez S. (C) 18. Vukotic I. 10. Reisinho M. 88. Ribeiro M. 70. Onyemaechi B. 9. Bozenik R.	58. Mantl N. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio 73. Lamba C. 3. Fontan J. 26. Weverson 5. Simao D. (C) 89. Pedro Santos 22. Gozalbez P. 10. Jason 19. Trezza A. 9. Morozov V.
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 2. Camara I. 74. Llorente D. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 17. Namora M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G)	78. Alex Pinto 27. Dante A. 21. Fukui T. 31. Loum M. 13. Popovic B. 11. Puche 2. Sylla M. 1. Valido J. (G) 50. Yalcin G.
Coaches
Bacci C.	Seabra V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Perez S. 🟨,
40', Simao D. 🟨,
45+4', Perez S. 🟨,
45+7', 0 - 1, Jason (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Simao D. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
47', Weverson 🟨,
50', Agra S. 🟨,
54', Gomes P. 🟨,
55', Weverson ↓, Dante A. ↑,
62', Morozov V. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
70', Gozalbez P. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Agra S. ⚽,
74', Fontan J. 🟨,
76', Gomes P. ↓, Miguel G. ↑,
78', Jason ↓, Puche ↑,
78', Gozalbez P. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
82', Pedro Santos 🟨,
84', Agra S. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
89', Bozenik R. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
89', Vukotic I. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
90+4', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Yalcin G. (Pen),
90+6', Yalcin G. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 3, Dabo A. (Own goal),
90+12', Mantl N. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arouca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Boavista won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
28.12.24	Porto - Boavista	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Boavista - AVS	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Boavista - Farense	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nacional - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTT
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
27.12.24	Arouca - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Casa Pia - Arouca	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
09.12.24	Estrela da Amadora - Arouca	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Arouca - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.04.24	Arouca - Boavista	2:1
03.12.23	Boavista - Arouca	0:4
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Arouca - Boavista	3:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
03.03.23	Boavista - Arouca	0:0
11.09.22	Arouca - Boavista	1:2
09.04.22	Boavista - Arouca	1:0
27.11.21	Arouca - Boavista	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
11.10.26	Arouca - Estrela da Amadora	✺

Boavista - Arouca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Initial Probability

Our Initial ML Estimation

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Who will win by Users?

Boavista - Arouca Predictions

Lineups

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

Upcoming Matches

Top Bookmakers Offers

Top Sports Predictions Today

About TVEvents