Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz


	Boavista		AVS

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.56	3.09	3.14
	2.34	3.11	3.31	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3	Watch
	2.5	3.05	3.08	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
37.9%

Draw
31%

AVS
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Boavista - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 35. Miguel G. 26. Abascal R. 20. Ferreira F. 25. Dabo A. 24. Perez S. (C) 16. Silva J. 7. Agra S. 10. Reisinho M. 70. Onyemaechi B. 9. Bozenik R.	93. Simao (G) 4. Rodriguez I. 42. Devenish C. 6. Roux B. 2. Fonseca F. 23. Mendonca G. 7. Silva L. (C) 24. Kiki 10. Lopes V. 18. Nene 14. Lucas Piazon
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 2. Camara I. 15. Gomes P. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 17. Namora M. 88. Ribeiro M. 76. Sousa T. (G) 18. Vukotic I.	12. Assuncao G. A. 15. Grau J. 22. Leo Alaba 16. Mena Y. 17. Mercado J. 20. Ribeiro R. 5. Teixeira J. 88. Trigueira P. (G) 11. Tunde Akinsola
Coaches
Bacci C.	Ramos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Mendonca G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silva J. ↓, Vukotic I. ↑,
55', Kiki 🟨,
61', Lopes V. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
61', Mendonca G. ↓, Assuncao G. A. ↑,
73', Vukotic I. 🟨,
75', Silva L. ↓, Grau J. ↑,
75', Nene ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
76', Dabo A. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
89', Lucas Piazon ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
90+4', Bozenik R. ↓, Namora M. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 14).

Recent matches Boavista is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AVS is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boavista will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AVS: Aburjania G. (Muscle Injury) Lucas Moura (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
14.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Boavista - Farense	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nacional - Boavista	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTTLW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
15.12.24	AVS - Benfica	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Casa Pia - AVS	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	AVS - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Lusitano GC - AVS	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Valladolid - AVS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TTLLL

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