The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boavista 7.4%
Draw 17.2%
Flamengo 75.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.1%
22%
64.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
18.5%
77.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista's form might have worsened.
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Boavista - Flamengo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca (Taca Guanabara to Play Offs: Semitofinals)).
Recent matches Boavista is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Boavista have a series of home games.
In this match Flamengo is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.
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