Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Boavista		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	15	5.25	1.2
	10	5	1.25
	9.5	5.1	1.23
	12	5.2	1.19
	14.73	5.96	1.22
	13	5	1.24
	12.5	6	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.39 ↑ (6.94)	5.36 ↑ (4.12)	1.22 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
7.4%

Draw
17.2%

Flamengo
75.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.1%

22%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

18.5%

77.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista's form might have worsened.

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Boavista - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca (Taca Guanabara to Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Recent matches Boavista is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boavista have a series of home games.

In this match Flamengo is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.03.21	Boavista - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
20.03.21	Boavista - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
15.03.21	Boavista - Macaé	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.21	Boavista - Goiás	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.21	Boavista - Bangu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTWW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.03.21	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
19.03.21	Flamengo - Resende	4:1 ✺
14.03.21	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Macaé - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
02.03.21	Flamengo - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.07.20	Flamengo - Boavista	2:0
22.02.20	Boavista - Flamengo	1:2
29.01.19	Flamengo - Boavista	3:1
07.03.18	Boavista - Flamengo	0:3
18.02.18	Boavista - Flamengo	0:2
28.01.17	Flamengo - Boavista	4:1
09.04.16	Flamengo - Boavista	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Flamengo - Grêmio	✺
29.10.26	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	✺

Boavista - Flamengo