Match Info

Date: 25 July 2020, Saturday


	Boavista		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5	3.9	1.62
	4.8	4.2	1.6
	5	4	1.61
	5.01	4.34	1.63
	5.5	4.33	1.53
	5.3	4.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.7)	4.16 ↑ (3.88)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
18.4%

Draw
22.6%

Rio Ave
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

24.3%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.6%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.2%	7.1%	82.7%

Boavista - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Ave will win (105 of 127 users predict this - 82.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.1% – 89.26%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
18.07.20	Famalicão - Boavista	2:2 ✺
14.07.20	Portimonense - Boavista	2:1 ✺
08.07.20	Boavista - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
04.07.20	Benfica - Boavista	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.07.20	Flamengo - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
18.07.20	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
13.07.20	Marítimo - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
09.07.20	Rio Ave - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
30.06.20	Rio Ave - Braga	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
19.01.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0
24.02.19	Boavista - Rio Ave	1:0
29.09.18	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:1
21.01.18	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0
12.08.17	Boavista - Rio Ave	1:2
01.04.17	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:1
05.11.16	Rio Ave - Boavista	1:2

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