Match Info

Date: 8 July 2020, Wednesday


	Boavista		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.87	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.9
	2.63	3	2.8
	2.65	2.9	2.85
	2.75	2.88	3.04
	2.62	3	2.9
	2.7	3.04	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.59)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	2.89 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
35.6%

Draw
31.8%

Marítimo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.7%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boavista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	46%	18%

Boavista - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 18 - 36%). Marítimo will win (votes: 9 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 46%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.2% – 59.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
04.07.20	Benfica - Boavista	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.07.20	Flamengo - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.06.20	Boavista - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
23.06.20	Porto - Boavista	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.06.20	Portuguesa RJ - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
03.07.20	Santa Clara - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
29.06.20	Marítimo - Benfica	2:0 ✺
22.06.20	Portimonense - Marítimo	3:2 ✺
15.06.20	Marítimo - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
10.06.20	Porto - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.12.19	Marítimo - Boavista	1:0
18.05.19	Marítimo - Boavista	0:1
12.01.19	Boavista - Marítimo	0:1
31.01.18	Boavista - Marítimo	2:1
20.08.17	Marítimo - Boavista	1:0
12.03.17	Boavista - Marítimo	3:0
21.10.16	Marítimo - Boavista	1:1

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