Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport
Brazil	21:30	ESPN
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	02:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	02:30	Viaplay
Finland	03:30	Viaplay
Germany	02:30	Sport 1+
Netherlands	02:30	ESPN
Norway	02:30	Viaplay, V Sport
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV
Serbia	02:30	Arena Sport
Sweden	02:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Boca Juniors		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.75
	2.95	2.78	2.75	Watch
	3.02	2.82	2.89
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	3.1	2.96	2.92	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.86)	2.8 ↓ (2.99)	2.79 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
32.1%

Draw
33.9%

Palmeiras
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

31.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

31.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	41.7%	8.3%

Boca Juniors - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero S. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Figal J. 6. Rojo M. (C) 18. Fabra F. 36. Medina C. 8. Fernandez G. 21. Fernandez I. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Cavani E. 19. Barco V.	21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Joaquin Piquerez 25. Gabriel Menino 8. Ze Rafael 12. Mayke 23. Raphael Veiga 14. Artur 10. Rony
Substitutes
9. Benedetto D. 42. Blondel L. 5. Bullaude E. 49. Campuzano J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 11. Janson L. 20. Ramirez J. 3. Saracchi M. 25. Valdez B. 15. Valentini N. 57. Weigandt M. 7. Zeballos E.	19. Breno Lopes 9. Endrick 35. Fabinho 30. Jailson 40. Jhon Jhon 18. Jose Lopez 37. Kevin 13. Luan 31. Luis Guilherme 42. Marcelo Lomba (G) 27. Richard Rios 6. Vanderlan
Coaches
Almiron J.	Ferreira A.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
23.09.23	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
15.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
10.09.23	Club Almagro - Boca Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.09.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWL
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
21.09.23	Grêmio - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Palmeiras - Goiás	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.08.23	Palmeiras - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
31.10.18	Palmeiras - Boca Juniors	2:2
24.10.18	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	2:0
25.04.18	Boca Juniors - Palmeiras	0:2
11.04.18	Palmeiras - Boca Juniors	1:1

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