Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Boca Juniors de Cali		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.25	3.1	2.22	Watch
	3.52	3.1	2.2
	3.38	3.13	2.22	Watch
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.21	3.16	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.04)	3.08 ↑ (3.08)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors de Cali
28.6%

Draw
29.9%

Cúcuta Deportivo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Boca Juniors de Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Obando E. (G) 20. Andrade Y. 5. Angulo Perlaza H. (C) 10. Aponza J. 33. Arcila J. 11. Bogota C. 8. Hernandez C. 2. Martinez A. 6. Perez L. 9. Rivas E. 18. Viveros J.	1. Ramirez J. (G) 13. Anaya J. 2. Ballesteros A. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. (C) 49. Hinestroza L. 14. Palacios J. 9. Pisano M. 39. Quejada K. 31. Renteria R. 88. Robledo L.
Substitutes
25. Borrero J. 7. Chaverra Palacios J. 17. Gomez C. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 4. Landazuri H. 19. Mosquera J. 26. Ortiz H.	10. Alvarez C. 5. Angulo Castro B. 16. Borja A. 11. Carreno A. 21. Guevara L. 99. Luna H. 12. Sanchez R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Arcila J. 🟨,
18', Anaya J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Pisano M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arcila J. ↓, Ortiz H. ↑,
46', Perez L. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
61', Hinestroza L. 🟨,
63', Rivas E. ↓, Chaverra Palacios J. ↑,
64', Ballesteros A. 🟨,
66', Andrade Y. 🟨,
69', Pisano M. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
69', Robledo L. ↓, Luna H. ↑,
71', Alvarez C. 🟨,
73', Anaya J. 🟨,
77', Ceballos J. ↓, Borja A. ↑,
77', Palacios J. ↓, Angulo Castro B. ↑,
77', Hernandez C. ↓, Borrero J. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Quejada K. ⚽,
84', Quejada K. 🟨,
86', Bogota C. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
86', Hinestroza L. ↓, Guevara L. ↑,
90+6', Luna H. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Boca Juniors is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cúcuta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cúcuta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Cúcuta Deportivo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
02.03.25	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Patriotas	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Internacional de Palmira - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Deportes Quindío	4:0 ✺
03.02.25	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera B
02.03.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Atlético Huila - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Deportes Quindío - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
30.01.25	Patriotas - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.08.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1
20.02.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0
20.09.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
16.04.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1
10.07.22	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:2

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