Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cartagena		Boca Juniors de Cali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.38	4.4	6.6	Watch
	1.4	4.89	7.35
	1.39	4.8	6.9	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7.05
	1.45	4.52	6.28	Watch
	1.37	4.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 (1.39)	4.59 ↓ (4.67)	6.66 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
66.1%

Draw
20%

Boca Juniors de Cali
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Boca Juniors de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 25. De Las Salas C. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 80. Lopez E. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 10. Montero F. 14. Pino D. 13. Rios J. 24. Tegue G.	12. Obando E. (G) 17. Andrade J. 34. Cortes D. 7. Cuero J. 3. Hurtado K. 20. Moran Y. 18. Mosquera H. 26. Ortiz H. 6. Perez L. 21. Urrutia P. 35. Viveros J.
Substitutes
99. Castillo D. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 27. Melendez A. 1. Montes A. (G) 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 20. Taffur L. 11. Yanes L.	11. Beitar D. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 23. Lucumi M. 2. Montano J. . Munoz S. . Rincon J. 27. Salcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Urrutia P. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Andrade J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 3, Andrade J. ⚽,
64', 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 1.

Real Cartagena has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Boca Juniors shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Real Cartagena enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:15 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Cartagena against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Boca Juniors	11	5	3	3	18:14	4	18
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
29.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cartagena - Tigres	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLWL
- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
26.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Patriotas	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Envigado	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
27.03.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	1:1
24.11.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	0:0
01.11.25	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1
08.08.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	2:2
02.03.25	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:2
21.08.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	1:4
03.03.24	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:0

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