Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Leoncio Benitez (Corrientes)


	Boca Unidos		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.82	2.95	4.33
	1.74	2.95	4.60
	1.77	3.03	4.61
	1.83	3.08	4.66	Watch
	1.75	3.00	4.55
	2.27	2.97	3.01
	1.75	3.05	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.51)	3 ↑ (2.87)	4.29 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Unidos
48.9%

Draw
30.1%

Bartolomé Mitre
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Unidos's performance.

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bartolomé Mitre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Unidos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bartolomé Mitre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ojeda L. (G) 9. Alfano A. 2. Donatti A. 11. Fernandez K. 4. Fuyana J. 5. Luduena L. 7. Medina A. 10. Mino M. 3. Pavon S. 6. Schweizer A. 8. Villanueva T.	1. Bachke G. (G) 10. Arraya L. 8. Arregui L. 11. Caceres A. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 7. Esquivel L. 9. Golomba N. 4. Lukoski K. 6. Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Alfano A. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In recent outings, Boca Unidos has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Boca Unidos is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Boca Unidos has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boca Unidos against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.09.26	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Vilelas	3:3 ✺
13.09.26	El Linqueño - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Tucuman Central - Boca Unidos	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Boca Unidos - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTW
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.09.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	9 de Julio - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.05.26	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1
29.03.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:0
30.08.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0
08.06.25	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	1:2
06.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:1

Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide