Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Bartolomé Mitre

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.70	7.75
	1.47	3.50	6.75
	1.41	3.84	9.04
	1.49	3.58	7.32	Watch
	1.34	3.75	8.95
	1.52	3.55	7.83
	1.40	3.60	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	7.77 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
63.4%

Draw
24.9%

Bartolomé Mitre
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

24.8%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

23.4%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

9 de Julio - Bartolomé Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanoni M. (G) 10. Abondetto R. 4. Acuna S. 2. Androetto T. 8. Del Sole N. 11. Larrea L. 5. Salcedo A. 9. Troncoso L. 6. Uriona M. 3. Vanega A. 7. Varela S.	1. Bachke G. (G) 8. Arraya L. 7. Arregui L. 11. Caceres A. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 4. Esquivel L. 9. Klusener A. 6. Rodriguez R. 10. Sarza K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+2', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
64', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

9 de Julio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bartolomé Mitre has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, 9 de Julio is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - 9 de Julio	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWT
- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

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