Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)


	Bartolomé Mitre		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	7.00	3.90	1.40
	6.6	4.05	1.38
	7.34	3.98	1.42
	7.67	4.3	1.38	Watch
	6.35	3.9	1.4
	6.75	3.89	1.5
	6.75	3.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.92 ↑ (2.18)	3.95 ↑ (2.9)	1.41 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
13.1%

Draw
22.9%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bartolomé Mitre's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+30.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bartolomé Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-37.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bartolomé Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 8. Arraya L. 7. Arregui L. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 4. Esquivel L. 11. Golomba N. 9. Klusener A. 6. Rodriguez R. 10. Sarza K.	1. Dormisch N. (G) 3. D'Amelio X. 4. Dauria M. 10. Ferreira P. 2. Fiol F. 8. Gutierrez M. 7. Medina R. 9. Morales E. 11. Salvaggio M. 6. Samaniego L. 5. Zarate A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Fiol F. ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Bartolomé Mitre has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLT

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