Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.90	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.90	4.40
	1.83	3.90	3.80	Watch
	1.77	4.15	4.59
	1.94	3.8	3.65	Watch
	1.74	4.05	4.50
	1.70	3.98	4.66	Watch
	1.74	3.90	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.95 ↑ (3.77)	4.27 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
53.7%

Draw
24.1%

Greuther Fürth
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bochum's performance.

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greuther Fürth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bochum - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 2. Klaiber S. 15. Steinwender M. 5. Mets K. 32. Wittek M. 34. Meyer T. 24. Pannewig M. 7. Rasmussen C. 23. Miyoshi K. 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Hellstern F. (G) 2. Reich L. 22. Heuer J. 29. Keresztes K. 27. Itter L. 37. Ademi F. 13. Will P. 6. Banse S. 10. Pohlmann O. 30. Klaus F. (C) 9. Jordan
Substitutes
37. Crimaldi A. 19. Hanslik D. 39. Isbruch L. 4. Karademir Y. 28. Patino C. 38. Rolleke H. (G) 31. Sawas L. 14. Steuckers J. 10. Taz B.	28. Arifi D. 45. Balliu O. 4. Benkara E. 34. Blank H. 23. Dehm J. 11. Keller A. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hofmann P. ⚽, Wittek M. (A),
28', Pannewig M. 🟨,
30', Holtmann G. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Keresztes K. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
58', Banse S. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
63', Rasmussen C. ↓, Crimaldi A. ↑,
63', Klaiber S. ↓, Karademir Y. ↑,
65', Jordan ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Sillah O. ⚽, Srbeny D. (A),
78', Meyer T. ↓, Isbruch L. ↑,
78', Wittek M. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
81', Ademi F. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
81', Reich L. ↓, Dehm J. ↑,
82', Pannewig M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5.

Bochum has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fürth is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bochum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bochum will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Drakas B. (Knee Injury) Mbom J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Cokaj E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fürth: Appelkamp S. (Muscle Injury) Dal M. (Shoulder Injury) Zank B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Bochum: 1.14% Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Greuther Fürth - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Bochum - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Bochum	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
06.09.26	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3
German Bundesliga
05.03.22	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1
16.10.21	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
06.03.21	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	1:2
07.11.20	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	0:2

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