Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

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	Greuther Fürth		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.10	3.80	2.10
	3.1	3.6	2.02	Watch
	3.31	4.15	2.14
	3.06	3.89	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.95	2.08
	3.41	3.82	2.01	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.48)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	2.06 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
29.4%

Draw
24.7%

Heidenheim
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

25%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hellstern F. (G) 23. Dehm J. 22. Heuer J. 29. Keresztes K. 27. Itter L. 37. Ademi F. 6. Banse S. 13. Will P. 10. Pohlmann O. 30. Klaus F. (C) 7. Srbeny D.	33. Dahne T. (G) 22. Mhamdi O. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 27. Heule M. 24. Costly M. 2. Busch M. 3. Schoppner J. 17. Honsak M. 18. Vogt A. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 4. Benkara E. 34. Blank H. 9. Jordan 11. Keller A. 39. Ortag C. (G) 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 21. Wallentowitz M.	14. Breunig M. 10. Conteh C. 1. Feller F. (G) 8. Hennrich P. 16. Niehues J. 23. Paqarada L. 4. Siersleben T. 38. Wagner Y. 41. Zrilic M.
Coaches
Vogel H.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Costly M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Srbeny D. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
65', Ademi F. ↓, Jordan ↑,
66', Keresztes K. 🟨,
73', Mhamdi O. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
73', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
79', Banse S. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
79', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
84', Keresztes K. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
85', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Zrilic M. ↑,
85', Vogt A. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
90+1', Breunig M. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
90+4', Schoppner J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Fürth: Dal M. (Shoulder Injury) Zank B. (Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh C. (Injury) Conteh S. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.1:0.9).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Heidenheim: 6.16% Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	14:12	2	14
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	2:4 ✺
09.08.26	St. Pauli - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zürich - Greuther Fürth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	5:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Jeddeloh - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	4:1 ✺
08.08.26	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.04.23	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:2
23.10.22	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	3:1
03.04.21	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	0:1
05.12.20	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:1
16.06.20	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:0
01.12.19	Heidenheim - Greuther Fürth	1:0
22.02.19	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:0

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