Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.24	3.67	2.95	Watch
	2.17	3.57	3.22	Watch
	2.28	3.6	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.24)	3.64 ↓ (3.67)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
42.1%

Draw
25.8%

Magdeburg
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	15.4%	11.5%

Bochum - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bochum (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bochum will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 24. Pannewig M. 34. Lenz C. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 8. Watjen K. 17. Holtmann G. 21. Onyeka F.	1. Reimann D. (C) 15. Heber D. 16. Mathisen M. 5. Muller T. 19. Musonda L. 8. Ulrich L. 21. Michel F. 17. Nollenberger A. 27. Hercher P. 9. Breunig M. 23. Atik B.
Substitutes
19. Bero M. 33. Hofmann P. 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 23. Miyoshi K. 10. Obafemi M. 15. Passlack F. 26. Rosch R. 22. Thiede N. (G)	4. Dzogovic E. 28. Geschwill M. 29. Ghrieb R. 25. Gnaka S. 11. Holmstrom A. 38. Hyrylainen L. 13. Krempicki C. 30. Kruth N. (G) 10. Pesch N.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Sander P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Hercher P. 🟨,
39', Muller T. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Watjen K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Pannewig M. 🟨,
60', Reimann D. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Holtmann G. ⚽,
62', Hercher P. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
62', Mathisen M. ↓, Krempicki C. ↑,
62', Breunig M. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
70', Holtmann G. ↓, Bero M. ↑,
71', Onyeka F. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
78', Atik B. 🟨,
81', Michel F. (Pen),
82', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
82', Watjen K. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
84', Ulrich L. 🟨,
84', Michel F. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
90+5', Bero M. 🟨,
90+7', Lenz C. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bochum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bochum: Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Shoulder Injury) Sissoko I. (Knee Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Muscle Injury) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Mathisen M. (Yellow Cards) Zukowski M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Strompf P. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bochum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Magdeburg - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.04%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Bochum - Alemannia Aachen	3:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Kaiserslautern - Bochum	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTL
- FC Magdeburg
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.25	Magdeburg - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Magdeburg - Bochum	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
04.05.19	Bochum - Magdeburg	4:2
02.12.18	Magdeburg - Bochum	0:0

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