Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Portugal	DAZN / App
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Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
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Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.55	Watch
	1.93	4.26	3.59
	2.01	3.83	3.35	Watch
				Watch
	1.93	4.06	3.48	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.96 ↑ (3.83)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
49%

Draw
23.9%

Bochum
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

24.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Holstein Kiel - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bochum (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Holstein Kiel (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 50%). Bochum (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Krumrey J. (G) 6. Ivezic M. 5. Johansson C. 3. Komenda M. 23. Rosenboom L. 15. Davidsen K. 24. Knudsen M. 47. Tolkin J. 11. Bernhardsson A. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 20. Kapralik A.	1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 4. Masovic E. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 21. Onyeka F. 19. Bero M. (C) 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.
Substitutes
19. Harres P. 45. Koster L. 25. Muller M. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 39. Wagner R. 1. Weiner T. (G)	29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 14. Clairicia M. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 20. Loosli N. 10. Obafemi M. 15. Passlack F. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Rosler U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Kapralik A. 🟨,
34', Holtmann G. 🟨,
38', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Strompf P. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Onyeka F. (Pen),
57', Pannewig M. 🟨,
63', Wittek M. 🟨,
65', Davidsen K. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
65', Tolkin J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
69', Wittek M. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
69', Holtmann G. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
69', Lenz C. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
72', Horn T. 🟨,
83', Kapralik A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
83', Komenda M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Koster L. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
87', Pannewig M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
90+2', Hofmann P. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1.

Recent performances by Holstein Kiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bochum is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Holstein Kiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Zec D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bochum: Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Shoulder Injury) Sissoko I. (Knee Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J. (Hip Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.25	Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWW
- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Bochum - Alemannia Aachen	3:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Kaiserslautern - Bochum	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Nürnberg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2
German 2 Bundesliga
03.04.21	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:1
04.12.20	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	3:1
27.05.20	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:1
25.10.19	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:1
23.02.19	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	1:3

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