Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 9, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8


	Augsburg		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.55	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.88	3.60	3.93	Watch
	1.56	4.3	5.15	Watch
	1.55	4.4	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)	4.21 ↓ (4.65)	4.86 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
58.2%

Draw
22.4%

Bochum
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

20.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Augsburg - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Labrovic N. (G) 17. Jakic K. (C) 5. Matsima C. 16. Zesiger C. 30. Kade A. 19. Fellhauer R. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M. 32. Rieder F. 11. Gharbi I. 21. Tietz P.	1. Horn T. (C) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 8. Watjen K. 17. Holtmann G. 21. Onyeka F.
Substitutes
40. Banks N. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 1. Dahmen F. (G) 9. Essende S. 13. Giannoulis D. 36. Komur M. 4. Massengo H. 26. Saad E. 31. Schlotterbeck K.	14. Clairicia M. 33. Hofmann P. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 10. Obafemi M. 15. Passlack F. 26. Rosch R. 22. Thiede N. (G)
Coaches
Wagner S.	Rosler U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Holtmann G. ⚽, Alfa-Ruprecht F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rieder F. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
59', Tietz P. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
60', Wolf M. ↓, Giannoulis D. ↑,
60', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
70', Strompf P. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
70', Holtmann G. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
72', Kade A. 🟨,
77', Kade A. ↓, Claude-Maurice A. ↑,
81', Morgalla L. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
81', Lenz C. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
81', Matsima C. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
86', Passlack F. 🟨,
90+3', Watjen K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.10.25	Augsburg - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWL
- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Bochum - Alemannia Aachen	3:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Kaiserslautern - Bochum	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.04.25	Bochum - Augsburg	1:2
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0
03.02.24	Bochum - Augsburg	1:1
02.09.23	Augsburg - Bochum	2:2
13.05.23	Bochum - Augsburg	3:2
12.11.22	Augsburg - Bochum	0:1
24.04.22	Bochum - Augsburg	0:2

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