Match Info

Date: 3 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Vad I. (Hun)


	Bodø Glimt		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7
	1.36	5.25	8
	1.32	5.5	9.5
	1.35	5.2	7.6
	1.34	5.47	8.97
	1.33	5	9
	1.33	5.3	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	5.25 ↑ (4.7)	8.34 ↓ (8.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
70.7%

Draw
18%

Žalgiris
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

20.4%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

84.6%

25%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	10.7%	18.7%

Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 53 - 70.7%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 14 - 18.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 60.4% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Bodø/Glimt is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Žalgiris is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bodø/Glimt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø/Glimt is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bodø/Glimt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bodø/Glimt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.07.22	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Linfield	8:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.07.22	Linfield - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.07.22	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Žalgiris Vilnius
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Žalgiris - Malmö	1:0 ✺
12.07.22	Žalgiris - Ballkani	1:0 ET ✺
05.07.22	Ballkani - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
01.07.22	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
26.08.21	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	1:0
19.08.21	Žalgiris - Bodø Glimt	2:2
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Bodø Glimt - Žalgiris	3:1

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