Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Kazakhstan	Q Sport
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Bodø Glimt		Twente

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	2	3.75	3.6
	2.02	3.8	3.67
	1.97	3.8	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5
	2.06	3.83	3.73
	2.02	3.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.26)	3.76 ↓ (3.77)	3.62 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
47.8%

Draw
25.6%

Twente
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

25.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Twente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Twente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.8%	20.9%	9.3%

Bodø Glimt - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 30 - 69.8%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 56.1% – 83.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 6. Gundersen J. (C) 2. Nielsen V. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. 14. Saltnes U. 11. Blomberg O. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 3. Lagerbielke G. 5. Kuipers B. 18. Vlap M. 23. Sadilek M. 11. Rots D. 14. Steijn S. 30. Ltaief S. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C)
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 77. Bro Hansen M. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 95. Kjaer J. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 94. Mikkelsen A. 27. Sorli S. 5. Wembangomo B.	41. Besselink G. 8. Booth T. 38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 29. Kuster H. 10. Lammers S. 24. Mesbahi J. 22. Tyton P. (G) 37. Unuvar N. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 32. Verschueren A.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Hilgers M. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Sjovold F. (Own goal), Vlap M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Hogh K. (Pen),
58', Steijn S. 🟨,
63', Saltnes U. 🟨,
72', Saltnes U. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
72', Blomberg O. ↓, Sorli S. ↑,
79', Nielsen V. ↓, Bjortuft O. L. ↑,
79', Sjovold F. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
87', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Hilgers M. (Own goal), Fet S. (A),
90+4', 3 - 1, Wembangomo B. ⚽, Sorli S. (A),
90+6', 3 - 2, Steijn S. ⚽,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
91', Sadilek M. ↓, Unuvar N. ↑,
91', Ltaief S. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
91', Sorli S. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
99', van Rooij B. 🟨,
102', Vlap M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
106', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Booth T. ↑,
106', Rots D. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
111', 4 - 2, Fet S. ⚽, Bjortuft O. L. (A),
111', Hilgers M. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
114', 5 - 2, Verschueren A. (Own goal), Bjorkan F. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Bodø Glimt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Twente is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bodø Glimt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bodø Glimt have a series of guest games.

Bodø Glimt will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Bassi D. (Thigh Injury) Skeide S. (Knee Injury) Vetti G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Alders G. (Inactive) Taha Y. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Burakovsky S. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodø Glimt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Twente - Bodø Glimt	2:1 ✺
30.01.25	Nice - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Bodø Glimt - Maccabi Tel Aviv	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Sparta Prague - Bodø Glimt	3:0 ✺
09.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
16.02.25	Twente - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Twente - Bodø Glimt	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.02.25	Heerenveen - Twente	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Twente - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Twente - Bodø Glimt	2:1

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