Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 11

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2


	Bodrumspor		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.46	2.98	3.12
	2.46	3.12	3.32
	2.45	3.04	3.2	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3
	2.45	3.29	3.19	Watch
	2.46	2.98	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
39%

Draw
30.8%

Alanyaspor
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bodrumspor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	18.7%	31.2%

Bodrumspor - Alanyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Akkan G. (G) 33. Celustka O. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 5. Antalyali T. 20. Brazao P. 26. Mohammed M. 99. Seferi T. 70. Bilsel E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 9. Puscas G.	1. Taskiran E. (G) 94. Hadergjonaj F. 20. Aksoy F. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 21. Bulut B. 42. Makouta G. 11. Rony Lopes 7. Karaca E. 10. Dursun S. 9. Cordova S.
Substitutes
21. Aslan A. 41. Bayrakdar G. 48. Dumanli C. 16. Fredy 1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 18. Obekpa G. 19. Osman H. 10. Ozer K. 94. Sertkaya Y. 8. Yalcin S.	26. Altintas E. 23. Bayram M. (G) 22. Ceken B. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 17. Janvier N. 70. Juan Christian 99. Karagoz Y. (G) 3. Lima N. 88. Ozdemir Y. 15. Usluoglu A.
Coaches
Demirel V.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Aksoy F. ↓, Lima N. ↑,
56', Bulut B. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
60', Antalyali T. ↓, Fredy ↑,
60', Brazao P. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
62', Mohammed M. 🟨,
64', Mohammed M. 🟥,
66', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Aslan A. ↑,
69', Puscas G. 🟨,
69', Aliti F. 🟨,
71', Karaca E. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
76', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
76', Dursun S. ↓, Ozdemir Y. ↑,
82', Puscas G. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
82', Seferi T. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
90+7', Bayrakdar G. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alanyaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alanyaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alanyaspor have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Bayrakdar G. (Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Herelle C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bayir F. (Injury) Richard (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury) Sen C. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Bodrumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Bodrumspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Hatayspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTWW
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Cup
29.10.24	Alanyaspor - Adıyaman	2:1 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
27.10.24	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Alanyaspor - Hull City	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
06.10.24	Galatasaray - Alanyaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

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