Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Bodrumspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.45	3.51
	1.88	3.64	4.15
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.84	3.58	3.91
	1.87	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
49.2%

Draw
26.3%

Gençlerbirliği
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Bodrumspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodrumspor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 3. Celustka O. 6. Ozdamar S. 44. Apaydin F. 4. Degismez E. (C) 94. Coban B. 26. Mohammed M. 8. Yalcin S. 10. Ozer K. 41. Bayrakdar G.	13. Ozdemir O. (G) 12. Berber O. 15. Nzaba F. 24. Babacan A. 17. Gureler Y. (C) 20. Kemaloglu E. 7. Aosman A. 88. Bentley 89. Amilton 72. Erturk M. 9. Yatabare M.
Substitutes
31. Akar E. 14. Akpinar T. 16. Albayrak E. 21. Aslan A. 70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 48. Dumanli C. 30. Erdilman M. 19. Osman H. 32. Tosun B. C. (G)	26. Aksaka B. 91. Bostan M. 35. Cagiran M. 60. Cek O. 1. Cetin E. (G) 23. Demir Y. E. 10. Durmaz J. 6. Guven A. B. 33. Temur A. 11. Yilmaz H.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Kaloglu S.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gençlerbirliği could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodrumspor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bodrumspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
20.01.24	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.01.24	Gaziantep - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
13.01.24	Bodrumspor - Giresunspor	4:0 ✺
24.12.23	Bodrumspor - Göztepe	3:0 ✺
19.12.23	Kocaelispor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWT
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
21.01.24	Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.01.24	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
14.01.24	Umraniyespor - Gençlerbirliği	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Gençlerbirliği	1:1 ✺
Turkish First League
23.12.23	Gençlerbirliği - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
26.08.23	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	1:0
28.04.23	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	2:1
03.12.22	Bodrumspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0

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