Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 16

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Kocaelispor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.8	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.2	3.1
	2.91	3.31	2.51
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.88	3.18	2.39
	2.8	2.95	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.45)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
33.5%

Draw
29.4%

Bodrumspor
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.8%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Kocaelispor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 77. Ceylan O. 53. Oksuz B. 4. Ortakaya E. 19. Turan A. 8. Celik C. 20. Colgecen M. 10. Candeias D. 41. Amaral J. 14. Beridze G. 9. Cicek A.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 3. Celustka O. 6. Ozdamar S. 34. Aytemur A. 4. Degismez E. (C) 94. Coban B. 26. Mohammed M. 8. Yalcin S. 10. Ozer K. 41. Bayrakdar G.
Substitutes
55. Abdioglu Y. 24. Breze I. 7. Ekinci C. 40. Gultekin Y. 11. Kouakou C. 2. Kubalas A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 21. Yildiz B. 32. Yilmaz M.	63. Bengi K. B. 76. Bozkurt Y. 20. Brazao P. 48. Dumanli C. 11. Imeri O. 5. Iyican A. E. 90. Sevinc H. 32. Tosun B. C. (G) 29. Turk A. M.
Coaches
Saglam E.	Tasdemir I.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
09.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Alanyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.23	Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Giresunspor - Kocaelispor	1:4 ✺
12.11.23	Kocaelispor - Çorum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
09.12.23	Bodrumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Bodrumspor - Menemenspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Bodrumspor - Adanaspor	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.23	Kocaelispor - Bodrumspor	1:2

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