Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bognor Regis Town		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
	1.4	4.2	5.3
	1.32	5.51	7.56
	1.44	4.5	5.25
	1.3	5.35	7.7
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	4.93 ↑ (4.5)	6.72 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
67.9%

Draw
18.5%

Brightlingsea Regent
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

17.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bognor Regis Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 3.

Bognor Regis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brightlingsea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brightlingsea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Brightlingsea have a series of home games.

In this match Bognor Regis is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.01.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bognor Regis Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Banbury United - Bognor Regis Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLLL
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
14.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Hastings United	2:3 ✺
07.01.23	Margate - Brightlingsea Regent	4:3 ✺
02.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1
02.10.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Bognor Regis Town	0:5
04.02.20	Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent	3:2
06.04.19	Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent	1:2
08.01.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Bognor Regis Town	3:0

Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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