Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	11.5	6.75	1.16
	7.5	5	1.22
	10	6	1.19
	11.97	6.83	1.2
	13	5.5	1.14
	13.25	6.9	1.15
	15	6	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.75 ↑ (7.2)	6.14 ↑ (5)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
7.7%

Draw
14.8%

Bishops Stortford
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.1%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

17.4%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bishops Stortford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brightlingsea will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bishops Stortford will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Brightlingsea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bishop's Stortford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brightlingsea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brightlingsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Bishop's Stortford is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.22	Billericay Town - Brightlingsea Regent	4:1 ✺
13.12.22	Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLTT
- Bishops Stortford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.22	Bishops Stortford - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
20.12.22	Bishops Stortford - Potters Bar Town	1:1 ✺
06.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Enfield Town - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Bishops Stortford - Margate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.01.22	Bishops Stortford - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0
14.09.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford	1:4
28.01.20	Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford	1:0
22.04.19	Bishops Stortford - Brightlingsea Regent	3:2
29.12.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford	1:0

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