Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.5
	4.9	4.2	1.49
	5.05	4.28	1.55
	5	4	1.5
	5.1	4.4	1.51
	4.75	4.33	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.81)	4.22 ↑ (3.73)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
18.4%

Draw
21.5%

Folkestone Invicta
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.1%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

23.7%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brightlingsea Regent's form might have worsened.

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folkestone Invicta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folkestone Invicta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 0.

Brightlingsea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Folkestone is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Folkestone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Hastings United	2:3 ✺
07.01.23	Margate - Brightlingsea Regent	4:3 ✺
02.01.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Billericay Town - Brightlingsea Regent	4:1 ✺
13.12.22	Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLL
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Haringey Borough	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	4:0 ✺
26.12.22	Herne Bay - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1
15.03.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	2:2
09.10.21	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	5:1
24.10.20	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	1:2
04.01.20	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	0:0
05.10.19	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:2
19.01.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	2:0

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