Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Corinthian-Casuals		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.15
	2.65	3.3	2.18
	2.75	3.4	2.23
	3.19	3.75	2.04
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	3.1	3.54	2.08
	2.75	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.29)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.17 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthian-Casuals
32.3%

Draw
26%

Bognor Regis Town
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

23.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthian-Casuals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthian-Casuals's form might have worsened.

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bognor Regis Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthian-Casuals than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Corinthian Casuals - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 0.

Corinthian-Casuals is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bognor Regis has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Corinthian-Casuals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Corinthian-Casuals won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Corinthian-Casuals won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthian-Casuals
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.01.23	Herne Bay - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Lewes - Corinthian-Casuals	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Haringey Borough	0:2 ✺
02.01.23	Kingstonian - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2 ✺
27.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Aveley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWL
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.01.23	Bognor Regis Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Banbury United - Bognor Regis Town	4:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Bognor Regis Town - Corinthian-Casuals	3:2
08.03.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	0:0
01.02.22	Bognor Regis Town - Corinthian-Casuals	3:2
28.01.20	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
26.01.19	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	1:3
13.11.18	Bognor Regis Town - Corinthian-Casuals	0:1

Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide