Match Info

Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Dalymount Park (Dublin)

Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
United-kingdom	Virgin TV Go app
World	LOI TV


	Bohemians Dublin		St Patricks Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.80	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.70
	2.48	3.15	2.75
	2.58	3.21	2.97
	2.58	3.02	2.99	Watch
	2.50	3.15	2.85
	2.49	3.13	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)	3.12 ↓ (3.18)	2.83 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bohemians Dublin
37.4%

Draw
29.8%

St Patricks Athletic
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bohemians Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bohemians will win (votes: 2 - 20%). St Patricks will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Walters P. (G) 16. Power D. 12. Hickey P. 22. Todd S. 15. Mullen S. 10. Devoy D. (C) 6. Flores J. 8. Vaughan H. 26. Tierney R. 32. Strods M. 9. Whelan C.	1. Rogers D. (G) 4. Redmond J. (C) 2. Hoare S. 3. Breslin A. 23. Brown J. 6. Lennon J. 17. Palmer R. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 10. Leavy K. 19. Baggley B. 27. Edmondson R.
Substitutes
24. Byrne C. 1. Chorazka K. (G) 5. Diallo S. 18. James-Taylor D. 17. McDonnell A. 4. Morahan N. 23. Myers Z. 7. Parsons C. 11. Rooney D.	15. Boyce R. 8. Forrester C. 9. Keena A. 11. McClelland J. 49. Molloy S. (G) 16. Nugent D. 25. Power S. 35. Rooney S. 24. Turner L.
Coaches
Reynolds A.	Kenny S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Vaughan H. 🟨,
33', Hickey P. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Whelan C. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Hickey P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vaughan H. ↓, Byrne C. ↑,
58', Strods M. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
58', Whelan C. ↓, Rooney D. ↑,
64', Edmondson R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
64', Breslin A. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
68', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
76', Palmer R. ↓, Power S. ↑,
76', Brown J. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
83', Flores J. ↓, Morahan N. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Tierney R. ⚽,
90+1', Rooney D. 🟨,
90+1', Tierney R. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bohemians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in St Patricks: Power S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	St. Patricks	32	17	8	7	52:25	27	59
3	Bohemians	33	17	8	8	58:40	18	59

Last Results with these Odds

Bohemians Dublin - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

St Patricks Athletic - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bohemians Dublin
Irish Premier Division
22.06.26	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	0:3 ✺
19.06.26	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
19.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Derry City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
24.04.26	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	3:1
08.02.26	Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	0:0
20.10.25	Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	0:0
04.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	0:0
25.04.25	Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	2:1
14.03.25	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	3:0
14.10.24	Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	1:3

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